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Poisson probability

Compute exactly k and at most k events for a given expected event count.

Free

Enter the expected number of events λ for a fixed interval and the count k. The calculator evaluates e^(−λ) × λ^k / k! and sums probabilities from zero to k.

◈ Local processingFree

How to use

  1. Enter your text, values, or image.
  2. Adjust the options and run the tool.
  3. Copy or download your result.

Worked example

Example input

Expected events λ: 1
Observed events: 0

Example result

{
  "exactly": 0.367879441171,
  "atMost": 0.367879441171
}

Limitations and details

λ and k are limited to 10000; a Poisson model assumes an appropriate constant event rate, and extreme probabilities may underflow.

Inputs and options

Expected events λ
Number · Minimum: 0 · Maximum: 10000
Observed events
Number · Minimum: 0 · Maximum: 10000

Frequently asked questions

Is this tool free and private?

Yes. All 300 tools are free in this phase. Processing happens in your browser; your input and files are not sent to our servers.

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